Introduction: Anglo American rejects BHP’s takeover approach
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.
Miner Anglo American has rebuffed a takeover proposal from its larger rival BHP Group, declaring that the £31.1bn offer is “opportunistic” and “significantly” too low.
A day after the mining sector was shaken up by BHP’s approach, Anglo’s board has unanimously rejected the proposal.
The company says:
The Board has considered the Proposal with its advisers and concluded that the Proposal significantly undervalues Anglo American and its future prospects.
It gives several reasons: not only is the offer too low, but Anglo isn’t impressed by the structure of BHP’s all-share proposal, citing uncertainty and complexity, and “significant execution risks”.
Under BHP’s plan, Anglo would demerge its entire shareholdings in Anglo American Platinum Limited and Kumba Iron Ore Limited to its shareholders first, before being acquired, as BHP is mainly interested in its copper mines.
Announcing the rejection of BHP’s approach, Stuart Chambers, chairman of Anglo American, tells the City:
“Anglo American is well positioned to create significant value from its portfolio of high quality assets that are well aligned with the energy transition and other major demand trends.
With copper representing 30% of Anglo American’s total production, and with the benefit of well-sequenced and value-accretive growth options in copper and other structurally attractive products, the Board believes that Anglo American’s shareholders stand to benefit from what we expect to be significant value appreciation as the full impact of those trends materialises.
Chambers adds that Anglo American is “entirely focused” on delivering its strategic priorities.
The company owns mines in countries including Chile, South Africa, Brazil and Australia, but a series of missteps – including disappointing production rates last year – have left it vulnerable to a takeover approach.
But some analysts have already suggested that BHP might have to improve its offer, or that other bidders could also enter the fray with their own proposals….
Yesterday, Anglo’s shares surged 16% and closed slightly higher than BHP’s offer (which is worth £25.08 per share). That implies the City expected the initial proposal to be rebuffed.
Jamie Maddock, energy analyst at Quilter Cheviot, said:
The fact that the shares are trading just above what BHP is offering suggests one of two things – either BHP is going to up its offer or sweeten the deal in some way, or a second offer comes forward from another diversified miner like Glencore.
The deal premium feels relatively low, particularly in the context of recent M&A offers and the heightened complexity hence something above £30 per share could be likely to get it done.
The agenda
-
7.45am BST: French consumer confidence report for April
-
9.30am BST: UK insolvency statistics for March
-
11.30am BST: Bank of Russia interest rate decision
-
1.30pm BST: PCE measure of US inflation index for March
-
3pm BST: University of Michigan indx of US consumer confidence
Key events
FTSE 100 hits new record high
Britain’s blue-chip FTSE 100 share index has hit a new intraday high, for the fourth day running.
The Footsie has climbed as high as 8,136 points this morning, up around 0.7%.
Yesterday it was pushed by by the surge in Anglo American’s share price.
This morning, NatWest are the top riser, up 4%, after reporting a smaller-than-expected 27% drop in profits in the last quarter.
investors are also in a cheery mood, after strong results from Google’s parent company Alphabet, and Microsoft, last night.
Shares in Anglo American are basically flat at the start of trading in London.
They’re trading at £25.57, (having closed at £25.60 last night), still above BHP’s now-rejected offer of £25.08 each.
That suggests that City traders believe this morning’s rebuffing may not be the end of the matter….
Shares in BHP Group fell by 4.6% on the Australian stock market overnight, as investors there digested its approach for Anglo.
As well as lowering the value of its all-share offer, this suggests some concerns over the merits of the deal – and expectations that BHP might improve its bid.
As Brenton Saunders of investment manager Pendal put it to Reuters.
“I am a bit surprised that the deal is not an agreed deal. It likely means BHP will need to offer more to win over shareholders and management and risks creating unhelpful animosity.
“The deal is complicated in that Anglo has a complicated structure with a number of moving parts like AngloPlats, Kumba and De Beers. It’s not clear how BHP adds value to the deal if it is required to offer considerably more.”
Nils Pratley: BHP’s takeover bid for Anglo American is clever but far too low
Nils Pratley
My colleague Nils Pratley explained yesterday why BHP’s offer, although clever, was simply not high enough to succeed….
Anglo would have to demerge its two big South African units that already have separate listings in Johannesburg, Anglo American Platinum and the local iron ore producer Kumba, by distributing the shares to its own shareholders. Then BHP would buy the rest of Anglo via an all-share offer. Add it all up and BHP presented its £31bn proposal as being pitched at a 31% premium for the Anglo assets that don’t have their own listings.
In reality, few will look at the numbers that way. BHP’s own description of the “total value” of its proposal as being £25.08 a share (with the listed parts included at £8.26) implied only a 13% premium to Anglo’s closing share price on Wednesday of £22-ish. Indeed, the offer was a bit less than £25 because BHP’s own shares fell slightly.
Thus the many Anglo shareholders, including Legal & General Investment Management (LGIM) and Abrdn, who called BHP’s offer “opportunistic” are correct. A £25 offer is clearly too mean. For all its calamitous recent history, Anglo should be able to get back £30 under its own steam via self-improvement. Its shares stood at £36 as recently as January last year. Note, too, that BHP has made its move when the price of diamonds (Anglo owns 85% of De Beers) and platinum are at cyclical lows.
One must assume BHP expected such a reaction from the ranks of Anglo shareholders, so its first shot was probably a sighter. It will need to go higher if it wants to continue the pursuit. But, if the target is up for grabs, all sorts of possibilities come into play. There’s nothing to stop Anglo breaking itself up, for example. And, if it were prepared to let go of the prized copper mines on their own, there’d be a queue of potential bidders. BHP couldn’t be surprised by such a development either: if you make a proposal that amounts to “we’d like to buy you, except for the bits we don’t like”, others are free to riff on the idea.
More here:
Some of Anglo American’s largest shareholders should be pleased by today’s rejection of BHP Group’s offer.
Yesterday, Legal & General Investment Management (Anglo’s 11th largest shareholder) criticised BHP Group’s approach was “highly opportunistic” and “unattractive”.
Another investor, Redwheel, argued that the details of BHP’s proposal were “sketchy” and “rather opportunistic”, in view of recent weakness in Anglo’s share price.
Introduction: Anglo American rejects BHP’s takeover approach
Good morning, and welcome to our rolling coverage of business, the financial markets and the world economy.
Miner Anglo American has rebuffed a takeover proposal from its larger rival BHP Group, declaring that the £31.1bn offer is “opportunistic” and “significantly” too low.
A day after the mining sector was shaken up by BHP’s approach, Anglo’s board has unanimously rejected the proposal.
The company says:
The Board has considered the Proposal with its advisers and concluded that the Proposal significantly undervalues Anglo American and its future prospects.
It gives several reasons: not only is the offer too low, but Anglo isn’t impressed by the structure of BHP’s all-share proposal, citing uncertainty and complexity, and “significant execution risks”.
Under BHP’s plan, Anglo would demerge its entire shareholdings in Anglo American Platinum Limited and Kumba Iron Ore Limited to its shareholders first, before being acquired, as BHP is mainly interested in its copper mines.
Announcing the rejection of BHP’s approach, Stuart Chambers, chairman of Anglo American, tells the City:
“Anglo American is well positioned to create significant value from its portfolio of high quality assets that are well aligned with the energy transition and other major demand trends.
With copper representing 30% of Anglo American’s total production, and with the benefit of well-sequenced and value-accretive growth options in copper and other structurally attractive products, the Board believes that Anglo American’s shareholders stand to benefit from what we expect to be significant value appreciation as the full impact of those trends materialises.
Chambers adds that Anglo American is “entirely focused” on delivering its strategic priorities.
The company owns mines in countries including Chile, South Africa, Brazil and Australia, but a series of missteps – including disappointing production rates last year – have left it vulnerable to a takeover approach.
But some analysts have already suggested that BHP might have to improve its offer, or that other bidders could also enter the fray with their own proposals….
Yesterday, Anglo’s shares surged 16% and closed slightly higher than BHP’s offer (which is worth £25.08 per share). That implies the City expected the initial proposal to be rebuffed.
Jamie Maddock, energy analyst at Quilter Cheviot, said:
The fact that the shares are trading just above what BHP is offering suggests one of two things – either BHP is going to up its offer or sweeten the deal in some way, or a second offer comes forward from another diversified miner like Glencore.
The deal premium feels relatively low, particularly in the context of recent M&A offers and the heightened complexity hence something above £30 per share could be likely to get it done.
The agenda
-
7.45am BST: French consumer confidence report for April
-
9.30am BST: UK insolvency statistics for March
-
11.30am BST: Bank of Russia interest rate decision
-
1.30pm BST: PCE measure of US inflation index for March
-
3pm BST: University of Michigan indx of US consumer confidence
