Fed pivot will dominate year of rate cuts in turn of global cycle

Fed pivot will dominate year of rate cuts in turn of global cycle

The coming 12 months are shaping up as the year of the interest-rate cut. After racing ahead with the most aggressive tightening campaign in decades during 2022 and 2023, central banks around the world are poised to begin easing monetary policy as inflation continues to retreat. The shift is captured by Bloomberg Economics, whose aggregate … Read more

RBI: RBI seen using fund injections to lower money market rates

RBI: RBI seen using fund injections to lower money market rates

Mumbai: Amid discussions with bankers over elevated funding costs and operational challenges brought about by liquidity deficit, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has sought to cool money market rates by conducting regular short-term fund injections after a long hiatus. “Banks have individually communicated with the RBI after the liquidity deficit widened significantly at the … Read more

banking industry: RBI’s hattrick bowls out potential risks in banks

banking industry: RBI’s hattrick bowls out potential risks in banks

Over the past few years, the banking industry has enjoyed a favourable market sentiment, as evidenced by Bank Nifty’s impressive two-year total returns from CY22 to CY23, registering a growth of 35.8%. This growth surpassed the 24% increase seen in the Nifty50 during the same period. Fortunately, this positive sentiment towards banks is not merely … Read more

Bond: Bond forwards set to clear many grey areas for banks, insurers

Bond: Bond forwards set to clear many grey areas for banks, insurers

Mumbai: Bond forwards in sovereign debt, for which the Reserve Bank of India released draft directions last week, will help end a regulatory grey area and let banks and insurers cater to the trillions of rupees worth of retail demand for long-term investment products in a standardised manner. Introduction of bond forwards, which are derivative … Read more

Indian banks strong enough to face adverse macro and credit stress: RBI

Indian banks strong enough to face adverse macro and credit stress: RBI

Indian banks are strong enough to withstand adverse macroeconomic and credit stress without compromising on the regulator-mandated capital position, but the wide adoption of technology and innovation are threatening financial stability, requiring regulators’ attention, the Reserve Bank of India said. Perception of riskiness of the Indian banking system has improved in relation to the global … Read more

Risk of oil price spike impacting FY25 growth is low: CEA V Anantha Nageswaran

Risk of oil price spike impacting FY25 growth is low: CEA V Anantha Nageswaran

Mumbai: The chief economic advisor V Anantha Nageswaran does not see the likely jump in oil prices due to global factors, including global slowdown and geo-political conflicts, impacting the domestic economy in a major manner next fiscal. Addressing the SBI-organised economic conclave here on Thursday, he based his optimism on the assumption that cooling off … Read more

Reserve Bank: RBI continues battle against inflation; all eyes on possible rate cut in 2024

Reserve Bank: RBI continues battle against inflation; all eyes on possible rate cut in 2024

For five consecutive policy reviews in 2023, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) chose to hold rates, citing inflation threat. And when the prices did cool off a bit, it reminded all about the target to get the headline consumer price inflation at 4 per cent and the risks from food inflation. Heading into the … Read more

India’s resilient economy seen expanding 6.7% in FY24

India’s resilient economy seen expanding 6.7% in FY24

New Delhi: The Indian economy is likely to grow 6.7% in FY24, according to a median forecast of 11 economists, staying resilient despite external headwinds as domestic demand and improving investments provide support. Prospects have improved from a month ago, when an ET poll pegged the current fiscal year’s expansion at 6.3%. However, the median … Read more

RBI may not have to drain cash further as core liquidity declines

RBI may not have to drain cash further as core liquidity declines

Mumbai: The Reserve Bank of India need not have to tighten liquidity any further as a metric cited by the central bank has fallen below levels that could stoke inflation, potentially paving the way for Mint Road to effectively deliver a rate cut by letting market rates ease from their current elevated levels. As of … Read more

Foreign Institutional Investors: CPI data, FII mood among 8 factors to drive D-Street this week

Foreign Institutional Investors: CPI data, FII mood among 8 factors to drive D-Street this week

After losses in the last week, the short-term trajectory of domestic equities is seen as weak, and investors may sit on the fence looking for fresh cues, as the earnings season draws to a close. Therefore, rangebound trade could be seen in indices in the truncated week ahead. The stock markets are closed on Tuesday … Read more