“I think July is a tough call now, although the payroll numbers on Friday will give us another clue on that. But I think they will cut twice before the end of the year, probably in September and December,” says Geoff Dennis, Independent EM Commentator.Just wanted your interpretation of the Fed minutes coming in and … Read more
A consensus appears to be emerging among the external members of the Reserve Bank of India’s monetary policy committee that high interest rates are damaging to economic growth, a sign that the debate over the timing of any easing is intensifying. Jayanth Rama Varma and Ashima Goyal voted at the June meeting for a rate … Read more
Asian stocks and currencies advanced on Thursday after the double-whammy of a Federal Reserve rate decision and US consumer price data. Equities and dollar-denominated bonds are seen benefiting, even if the bullish inflation reading was tempered by Fed officials pulling back their rate cut forecasts for the year, according to strategists. Currencies like the rupiah … Read more
“I would say most of the forecast will be retained. A lot of focus will be on the upcoming budget and the policy henceforth rather than expecting really meaningful on Friday’s policy,” says Tanvee Gupta Jain, Chief India Economist, UBS Securities India.Well, a rate cut or a rate action clearly is not on the cards, … Read more
Gold recorded its worst weekly slump this year in the week ending May 24 on hawkish FOMC minutes and robust US PMIs. Now, markets largely look for just one rate cut this year as traders readjust their rate expectations in the wake of the US data and the Fed’s stance. Spot gold closed with a … Read more
The Bank of England (BoE) moved closer to cutting interest rates from a 16-year high after a second policymaker voted for lower borrowing costs and Governor Andrew Bailey said he was “optimistic that things are moving in the right direction.” Deputy Governor Dave Ramsden joined external member Swati Dhingra in calling for an immediate cut … Read more
Federal Reserve officials are about to get further confirmation that inflation progress has stalled, supporting what appears to be a shift in tone to keep interest rates higher for longer than previously anticipated. Policymakers’ preferred inflation gauge – the personal consumption expenditures price index – probably stayed elevated in March, according to data due in … Read more
Gold prices steadied on Wednesday, after posting its biggest decline in a month in the previous session after a sticky U.S. inflation report boosted bond yields and slightly tempered hopes for a June interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve. FUNDAMENTALS * Spot gold edged 0.1% up to $2,158.26 per ounce, as of 0151 GMT. … Read more
