Rate cuts likely, but path highly uncertain

Rate cuts likely, but path highly uncertain

Federal Reserve officials in December concluded that interest rate cuts are likely in 2024, though they appeared to provide little in the way of when that might occur, according to minutes from the meeting released Wednesday. At the meeting, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee agreed to hold its benchmark rate steady in a range … Read more

investors look to fresh economic data

investors look to fresh economic data

U.S. Treasury yields rose on Wednesday as investors bet that perhaps the Federal Reserve wouldn’t cut rates as aggressively as hoped for this year. The 10-year Treasury yield was last up by 4 basis points to 3.967, after touching above 4% earlier in the morning. The 2-year Treasury yield was last trading at 4.343% after … Read more

Fed’s Barkin sees likely soft landing ahead but notes rate hikes still a possibility

Fed’s Barkin sees likely soft landing ahead but notes rate hikes still a possibility

Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin poses during a break at a Dallas Fed conference on technology in Dallas, Texas, May 23, 2019. Ann Saphir | Reuters Richmond Federal Reserve President Thomas Barkin on Wednesday expressed confidence that the economy is on its way to a soft landing, but obstacles remain that will … Read more

Big Short’s Steve Eisman worries investors are too bullish in 2024

Big Short’s Steve Eisman worries investors are too bullish in 2024

Investor Steve Eisman of “The Big Short” fame is questioning the level of bullishness on Wall Street — even with the market’s tepid start to the year. From enthusiasm surrounding the “Magnificent Seven” technology stocks to expectations for multiple interest rate cuts this year, Eisman believes there’s little tolerance for things going wrong. “Long term, … Read more

U.S. Treasury yields: investors consider economic outlook

U.S. Treasury yields: investors consider economic outlook

U.S. Treasury yields were higher on Thursday as investors weighed the path ahead for the economy and financial markets as the new year nears. At 4:07 a.m. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was up by over three basis points to 3.8202%. The 2-year Treasury yield was last more than two basis points higher … Read more

investors weigh 2024 interest rate outlook

investors weigh 2024 interest rate outlook

U.S. Treasury yields were mixed on Wednesday, as investors considered the outlook for monetary policy and financial markets for the coming year. At 3:56 a.m. ET, the yield on the 10-year Treasury was down by over one basis points to 3.8667%. The 2-year Treasury yield was almost flat, last trading at 4.2891%. Yields and prices … Read more

The U.S. avoided a recession in 2023. What’s the outlook for 2024?

The U.S. avoided a recession in 2023. What’s the outlook for 2024?

Grocery items are offered for sale at a supermarket on August 09, 2023 in Chicago, Illinois.  Scott Olson | Getty Images Heading into 2023, the predictions were nearly unanimous: a recession was coming. As the year comes to a close, the forecasted economic downturn did not arrive. So what’s in store for 2024? An economic … Read more

PCE inflation November 2023:

PCE inflation November 2023:

A gauge the Federal Reserve uses for inflation rose slightly in November and edged closer to the central bank’s goal. The core personal consumption expenditures price index, which excludes volatile food and energy prices, increased 0.1% for the month, and was up 3.2% from a year ago, the Commerce Department reported Friday. Economists surveyed by … Read more

10-year Treasury yield rises to start the week

10-year Treasury yield rises to start the week

The 10-year Treasury note yield rose Monday to start the last full trading week of 2023. The yield on the 10-year Treasury was about 2 basis points higher at 3.943%. On Thursday, the yield fell below the 4% level, hitting its lowest since July. The 2-year Treasury yield was little changed at 4.457%, below the … Read more