Sunak cites ‘confidential’ inquiry as he refuses to answer questions over aide and election date bet – live | General election 2024

Metropolitan police says at least 7 officers now under investigation over election timing bets

The number of Metropolitan police officers under investigation over bets on the timing of the general election has risen to at least seven, the force has said.

On Tuesday the Met said six officers were being investigated – of whom one was the close protection officer who was arrested. The other five, who were not close protection officers, had not been arrested, but were being investigated by the Gambling Commission, it said.

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Key events

Here is Archie Bland’s Election Edition briefing on today’s events.

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A reader asks:

Do we have any indication of how the electorate feel about the trans rights anti-woke nonsense of the Tories? Any polling on the issue?

I’m sure this is one of those areas where, depending on how you frame the question, you can get the polling to say whatever you want. I have not had time to research this properly. But More in Common do a lot of research on attitudes to cultural issues, like this one, and their work is always blanced and insightful. Here are three points made by their director, Luke Tryl, that are worth noting.

1) There is evidence suggesting people think politicians talk too much about trans rights and the issues related to those, not too little.

As well as asking people their top election issues we asked people this week if politicians were talking too much or too little about those issues. Interestingly debates about transgender people were the only issue where more said it was talked about too much than too little. pic.twitter.com/kQHWo3bmFI

— Luke Tryl (@LukeTryl) June 27, 2024

As well as asking people their top election issues we asked people this week if politicians were talking too much or too little about those issues. Interestingly debates about transgender people were the only issue where more said it was talked about too much than too little.

The worry about an over focus on trans also emerged in @BurnsConleth debate focus group in Basildon – not that people thought there weren’t important issues involved to get right, but the relative airtime compared to other issues during the campaign/debate. https://t.co/ZinB0YQ7ao

— Luke Tryl (@LukeTryl) June 27, 2024

The worry about an over focus on trans also emerged in @BurnsConleth debate focus group in Basildon – not that people thought there weren’t important issues involved to get right, but the relative airtime compared to other issues during the campaign/debate.

2) Labour allegedly “not knowing what a woman is” does not seem to be a big reason for people not switching to the party.

9) Social issues don’t seem to be motivating votes/be high on lists of concerns, the charge ‘Labour doesn’t know what a woman is’ ranked near the bottom of people’s hesitations about voting Labour – concerns about not doing a better job on cost of living were at the top. pic.twitter.com/l2DwKROgVN

— Luke Tryl (@LukeTryl) February 23, 2024

Social issues don’t seem to be motivating votes/be high on lists of concerns, the charge ‘Labour doesn’t know what a woman is’ ranked near the bottom of people’s hesitations about voting Labour – concerns about not doing a better job on cost of living were at the top.

3) Allowing gender self-ID was the most unpopular of a series of policies polled by More in Common – and it was unpopular even with Labour and Green voters.

More Apprenticeships & child care were popular with every voter group – apprenticeships saw virtually no polarisation by party support. Reducing levels of migration was popular with everyone bar Liberal Democrats, investing in tackling climate change with all bar Reform voters. pic.twitter.com/6xek6j5lFm

— Luke Tryl (@LukeTryl) February 23, 2024

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Farage says he treated 2nd and 3rd Covid lockdowns ‘with total contempt’, implying he ignored rules

Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, attracted a big audience in Sunderland where he gave a speech announcing that the businessman and former Tory donor Sir John Hall is backing his party. (See 1.01pm.)

Here are some of the other lines from what was a relatively long and wide-ranging speech. Farage has been delivering inflammatory, provocative oratory to rightwing audiences for at least a decade, and much of what he said will have not have sounded surprising to anyone familiar with his record. But perhaps there was more of a Trump flavour to it than in the past, evident in his hubris (he boasted about having a better understanding of foreign policy than anyone in government), in his contempt for the Conservative party (in the past he wanted to influence them; now he wants to replace them) and in his lockdown-scepticism.

The Tories say we’re in economic trouble because of the pandemic. But hang on – you didn’t need to lock us down for a second and a third time. You didn’t need to take away our freedoms in a way that weren’t even done during world war two, and all of it done with Labour support.

I actually believe the long-term economic and psychological damage from lockdowns two and three perhaps represents the biggest mistake any British government, supported by the opposition, has ever made in peacetime.

I don’t know about the Downing Street parties, I treated those last two lockdowns, I must be honest, with total contempt. And I’m sorry – I just thought government’s gone way, way too far.

  • He claimed that he had a better record on foreign policy than recent prime ministers. Defending his recent claims about how the expansion of Nato and the EU provoked Russia to invade Ukraine, he said he was right. “All I did, alone, was to predict what would happen. That is not a sin.” He said when the Iraq war took place, unlike the Conservative and Labour parties, he was asking what the exit strategy was. And he said he was right about David Cameron’s attack against Libya being “madness”. He said that conflict helped to create Islamic State. “We are absolutely idiotic when it comes to these things,” he said, claiming the war also led to the small boats problem. He went on:

I would put myself up, on foreign policy, against any of these people. I have got the track record of being right.

We’re up against the Conservative party – or should I perhaps, more accurately, describe them as an international betting consortium. It gets worse every day, doesn’t it. Story after story. Now we learn about a Conservative MP who allegedly has put £8,000 on his Labour opponent in his own seat to win. I mean, would you bet against your own team at football. If you were caught, you’d be kicked out of the club and quite right too. More and more of them are being dragged in and it shows you their sense of arrogance and entitlement.

As for the small boats, well, it was me going out into the English Channel repeatedly in the spring of 2020 filming, explaining that unless we got a grip on this, that it would be a huge problem.

And I dared to use a word, a word so repulsive that it must never be repeated in polite society. A word so awful that I’m to be a pariah for the rest of my life.

I dared to say that I feared there would be an invasion of small boats across the English Channel. Well now – 4,000 boats and 128,000 people later – if it’s not an invasion, what the hell is it?

Nigel Farage speaking to supporters during a campaign event at Rainton Arena in Houghton-le-Spring. Photograph: Ian Forsyth/Getty Images
Farage speaking at Rainton Arena. Photograph: Ian Forsyth/Getty Images
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Badenoch claims Labour’s plans to monitor ethnic pay disparities like ‘apartheid South Africa’ and ‘morally repellent’

Peter Walker

Peter Walker

Kemi Badenoch has explicitly compared Labour plans to introduce monitoring over ethnic pay disparities to apartheid South Africa, saying the policy would be “used to work out what people of different ethnicities should be paid”.

In a typically combative speech, speaking at the British Chambers of Commerce conference in London, the business secretary also likened the plans to policies used by the repressive regimes in China and Myanmar.

Badenoch was not seemingly being accurate in saying Labour’s plan would set out rates of pay for people of different ethnicities. The policy extends existing protections about pay on gender grounds to ethnicity and introduces reporting on disability and ethnicity pay gaps for large employers.

It does not say pay should be based on ethnicity. The idea of an ethnicity pay gap reporting was also proposed by Theresa May in 2018.

In her speech, Badenoch claimed that Labour would be going further than this with an explicitly “political” agenda. She did not cite any evidence for the claim.

There would be, she said, “a law that will be used to work out what people of different ethnicities should be paid, and they will be checking on you”.

She went on:

Labour’s proposals divide the country into black/white, rich/poor, old/young, because they see people as target groups not as individuals, and they see you as greedy exploiters not wealth creators.

I think classifying your workforce by race and having this influence their salaries is morally repellent. It’s what they did in apartheid South Africa and what they do now in China and Myanmar. We should not be going anywhere near this stuff.

Badenoch is a vocal opponent of policies based on structural inequalities, an idea she has dismissed repeatedly.

Kemi Badenoch. Photograph: Tayfun Salcı/ZUMA Press Wire/REX/Shutterstock
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Rishi Sunak has suggested that just 150,000 voters could be enough to stop the Conservatives losing by a landslide.

As the Telegraph reports, Sunak made the comment in an interview with GB News being broadcast tonight. Asked about the Conservative party’s dire opinion poll ratings, Sunak said:

I’d say to everyone watching ‘those polls aren’t destiny’. People watching can make the difference …

There’s other research that just shows it’s something like 150,000 voters in key places will make the difference.

Those are the people that will be watching, right? If you’re watching this show right now, you can make the difference.

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Rishi Sunak, Keir Starmer and Ed Davey have all been doing pottery-related campaign events today.

Rishi Sunak glazing pottery during a visit to Denby Pottery Factory today. Photograph: Darren Staples/AFP/Getty Images
Keir Starmer speaking to celebrity potter Keith Brymer Jones during his visit to Duchess China in Longton near Stoke On Trent. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/PA
Ed Davey painting pottry at Vale House in Marpley. Photograph: Anadolu/Getty Images
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Reform UK drops candidate revealed to have been BNP member

A Reform UK general election candidate has been dropped after it emerged that he had been on a list of members of the British National party (BNP), Ben Quinn reports.

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Steve Baker, the Northern Ireland minister, will stand for next Tory leader if he remains an MP after the election, HuffPost UK reports.

In his story, Kevin Schofield says Baker dropped hints about standing in a speech last month. Baker also told the website:

It’s a fact my colleagues sent for me four times to provide leadership through crisis to success: before and after the referendum, in Covid and in relation to the cost of Net Zero. I’m widely expected to lose my seat. We will see.

Baker is seeking re-election in Wycombe, where he had a majority of just 4,214 in 2019. According to the latest YouGov MRP poll, Labour is on course to win the seat easily, beating Baker by 42% to 22%.

Baker spent the first few days of the election campaign on holiday in Greece.

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Sunak refuses to say if he told Craig Williams in advance about election date, saying it would be wrong to ‘compromise’ inquiry

Rishi Sunak has declined to say whether he told Craig Williams, his parliamentary aide, in advance about his decision to hold the general election in July.

Williams placed a bet on July three days before the surprise announcement. He has now been disowned by the Tories as a candidate, and is being investigated by the Gambling Commission. He says he made an error of judgment, but he claims he did not commit an offence.

During a visit to Derbyshire, asked repeatedly if he told Williams in advance about the election date, Sunak said he could not answer because he might compromise the inquiry.

When it was put to him that he would not prejudice the inquiry by answering the question, he replied:

No, it’s absolutely not right when there are ongoing independent investigations that those are compromised in any way shape or form … They are rightly confidential and it’s important that they stay that way.

Sunak also said he was “not aware” of any Tory candidates or party officials being investigated beyond those already in the public domain.

Rishi Sunak in Ripley today. Photograph: Joe Giddens/PA
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Starmer declines to deny report saying Labour HQ has scaled back campaigning in Clacton

As Aletha Adu reports, Labour activists have been told to scale back their campaigning in Clacton, where the Reform UK leader Nigel Farage is trying to get elected, because party HQ regards it as an unwinnable seat for the party.

Keir Starmer did no deny the story when asked about it today. He said Labour was still fighting in the constituency – but he did not deny that party HQ decided where activists were most needed. He said:

The chief of operations tells people where we most want them to go and fight, but we have got to fight in Clacton, of course we have.

We have got an excellent candidate there, he actually works for me, he is fantastic, so I’m very supportive of him and the campaign that he is running, and he is doing something incredible in Clacton which is being that positive candidate in difficult circumstances.

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Starmer says he did not mean to insult Bangladeshi community with comment saying more removals needed

Yesterday Sabina Akhtar, deputy leader of Tower Hamlets’ Labour group, resigned from the party over what she described as comments from Keir Starmer that were offensive to the Bangladeshi community.

She was referring to Starmer talking about how Labour would remove people not entitled to be in the UK. At the Q&A with Sun TV on Monday, Starmer said it was important to return people if they arrived in the UK irregularly and did not qualify for asylum. He then cited Bangladeshis as examples of the people he had in mind, saying:

At the moment people coming from countries like Bangladesh are not being removed because they’re not being processed.

Starmer was making a point about the government’s decision to stop processing asylum claims from people who have arrived in the UK in small boats – an issue that also came up in last night’s TV debate. (See 2.03pm.)

But the comment to Sun TV alarmed Labour members of the Bangladeshi community. Apsana Begum, who is seeking re-electing in Poplar and Limehouse, posted a message on X saying she would “never stand by and let migrant communities be scapegoated”. And Rushanara Ali, who is seeking re-election in Bethnal Green and Stepney, said she had been in touch with Starmer’s office to discuss the “considerable concern and upset” his comment caused.

Today Starmer says he did not intend to cause offence. He said Bangladeshis had made a massive contribution to the UK and “that’s why there’s always been a longstanding and strong relationship between Labour and the Bangladeshi community here”. He went on:

It’s why my first trip as a Labour MP was to Bangladesh, where I saw for myself the strength of the country, the hospitality and warmth of the country. I’ve got many Bangladeshi constituents in my own constituency who I’ve been working with for many years, and I want to build on that in government.

The reference in the debate the other day was an example of a country that is considered safe as far as asylum is concerned, and one of the countries that’s actually got a returns agreement with us, and that is actually a good thing where both we and Bangladesh can be proud of … I certainly wasn’t intending to cause any concern or offence to any Bangladeshi community here.

Keir Starmer speaking to reporters in Burton today. Photograph: Stefan Rousseau/PA
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Starmer dismisses Sunak’s claim Labour’s returns agreement policy would mean negotiating ‘with the Ayatollahs’

Keir Starmer has dismissed Rishi Sunak’s claim in the BBC debate last night that he would “sit down with the Ayatollahs” to get a migrant returns agreement with Iran.

Sunak was arguing that if was unrealistic for Labour saying that it could deal with people who don’t qualify for asylum by saying they would negotiate returns agreements allowing them to be deported, because that would involve dealing with countries like Iran, Syria and Afghanistan.

Speaking to reporters today, Starmer said that Sunak had no answer himself as to what would happen to people in this cohort. He explained:

Even if the Rwanda scheme is up and running with a few hundred flights every year, it will take literally hundreds of years to remove people to Rwanda.

Starmer also said that the Tory policy of not even processing asylum applications from these people made no sense. And he said Labour would of course not be returning people to countries like Afghanistan. He said:

Of course there will be countries, Afghanistan is an example, where you can’t return people. They’re not going to be returned to Afghanistan. But what we can’t do is stay with this absurd situation where there’s just a growing and growing number.

In practice, Labour’s plan to process asylum claims from people who have arrived in the UK by small boats recently (and who the Tories are banning from claiming asylum) would probably lead to most of the arrivals from Iran, Syrian and Afghanistan being granted asylum. But this was not an argument that Starmer wanted to make in the debate last night, which led to him being on the back foot when questioned by Sunak.

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John Swinney complains of ‘conspiracy of silence’ over funding for public services at last FMQs before election

Libby Brooks

Libby Brooks

The last FMQs before the Scottish parliament’s summer recess – and the final outing for Douglas Ross as Scottish Conservative leader – was little more than an opportunity for the parties to rehearse their election campaign lines, despite the focus supposedly being on Holyrood matters.

Ross – who was immediately told off by the presiding officer for describing SNP members as “clapping seals” – said that independence was “the only thing that mattered” to John Swinney, and that voters had other priorities; Ross referred to new figures showing delayed discharge is at a record high.

Swinney blamed 14 years of austerity, and said that the Institute for Fiscal Studies had highlighted a “conspiracy of silence” about the funding of public services.

Labour leader Anas Sarwar also attacked the Scottish government for NHS failings – waiting times in particular – while Scottish Lib Dem leader Alex Cole-Hamilton went on GP waiting times and cuts of mental health funding.

Swinney told Sarwar he wanted an “honest conversation” about the financial support required for the NHS – and Sarwar said he looked forward to having just that on the SNP’s health record ahead of the 2026 Holyrood elections.

New polling out this morning suggests the gap between Labour and the SNP has narrowed but that, because of the concentration of Labour support in the central belt, the nationalists should still expect heavy losses.

As PA Media reports, a Savanta poll has Labour and the SNP both on 34% – but with analysis suggesting this could lead to Labour winning 28 seats (up from 1 in 2019), and the SNP just 18 (down from 48 at the last election).

And a Survation poll has Labour on 37%, with the SNP on 31%. That would give Labour 31 MPs and the SNP 17, modelling suggests.

John Swinney at FMQs today. Photograph: Jeff J Mitchell/Getty Images
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Starmer dismisses Tory ‘surrender’ ad attacking Labour as ‘desperate stuff’

Jessica Elgot

Jessica Elgot

Keir Starmer has dismissed the Tory election ad saying people should not “surrender” to Labour, and depicting a family with their hands up, as “really desperate stuff”. (See 11.17am.) Speaking to reporters today, he went on:

And I’m surprised by it. I think it underlines the difference between the two campaigns.

Now, they’re running a very negative campaign, nothing about the future of the country. I’m very happy to be the candidate going into the final week because putting forward a positive case for the change that country needs.

Keir Starmer taking a selfie with students at Burton and South Derbyshire College this morning. Photograph: Cameron Smith/Getty Images
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Former Newcastle United owner and former Tory donor John Hall says he’s backing Reform UK

Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, has announced that the businessman and former Newcastle United owner Sir John Hall is backing his party.

In the past Hall has given more than £500,000 to the Conservative party. But today he told ITV Tyne Tees that the party no longer represented his views. He said:

I’m a disillusioned Conservative. I just feel in these latter years they’ve let me down.

Hall said he liked Reform UK because they would “fight for my English rights and customs”. He said he would not be joining the party, but he would be donating to it.

Speaking in a rally in County Durham, Farage said that Hall had been an “amazing success story” and that he was backing Reform UK after decades of supporting the Tories.

Before the rally started, Farage posted this on X to illustrate the size of the crowd.

Sir John Hall at the Reform UK rally in Houghton-le-Spring. Photograph: Ian Forsyth/Getty Images
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‘We’re not pitching new Netflix series’ – Labour defends running predictable campaign

Jasper Jolly

Jasper Jolly

Labour’s shadow business secretary Jonathan Reynolds has said the party wants to run a government, not a Netflix series, as he defended the party’s decision to run a relatively surprise-free election campaign.

Reynolds said Labour’s offer of stability and predictable policy would be valuable for businesses, in a speech today to industry leaders at the British Chambers of Commerce.

Labour has retained a formidable poll lead over the Conservatives, but has also rowed back on some of its more ambitious proposals -notably on green investment. That has led to some activists complaining the party has not been radical enough.

Unlike the Conservatives, Labour has also largely avoided making surprise policy announcements. Mostly it has focused on promoting policies agreed and announced well before the campaign started.

This has prompted some political pundits to describe the campaign as boring.

But Reynolds said:

I’m told by some commentators, they don’t think Labour’s campaign is exciting enough. Look, my friends, we’re not pitching you a new Netflix series, you know, we’re not putting on politics as entertainment.

We want a return to serious government, to effective policy, and to politics of public service, not as pantomime.

Jonathan Reynolds speaking at the BCC conference at the Queen Elizabeth II conference centre in London today. Photograph: Lucy North/PA
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Nigel Farage, the Reform UK leader, is speaking at a rally in Durham. There is a live feed here.

Reform UK leader Nigel Farage speaks at noon ‘mass meeting’ in Durham – watch live

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Starmer says election date betting scandal shows why UK needs ‘reset for politics’

Last night the Metropolitan police said that, although the Gambling Commission was investigating most of the suspect election date bets, it was involved in cases where the offending could go beyond the Gambling Act to include offences such as misconduct in public office. The Met has also said seven of its officers are now being investigated.

This morning Keir Starmer said this showed why Rishi Sunak should have acted earlier. He said:

This latest development highlights 1) how serious this is, 2) that the prime minister should have acted swiftly at the beginning and showed leadership rather than being bullied into taking action, and 3) the wider choice that is now there at the election between carrying on with this sort of behaviour – we’ve seen far too much of this sort of bending the rules – we’ve got to stop that, turn the page and usher in a reset for politics and for our country.

Keir Starmer on a visit to Burton upon Trent this morning. Photograph: Cameron Smith/Getty Images
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Updated at 

Rishi Sunak is speaking at an election event in Derbyshire, and he is restating is claim that a vote for Labour would be a “blank cheque” because Keir Starmer is not saying what he would do in government. He says Starmer has “no answers” on immigration, and Labour won’t match the Tory pledge to increase defence spending to 2.5% of GDP. He says Labour “will whack up your taxes”.

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