Kremlin warns of conflict with Nato if alliance troops fight in Ukraine
The Kremlin has suggested that conflict between Russia and the US-led Nato military alliance would become inevitable if European members of Nato sent troops to fight in Ukraine, Reuters reports.
Sweden, Poland and Czech Republic have distanced themselves from Emmanuel Macron saying on Monday that there was “no consensus” on sending western troops to Ukraine but “nothing should be excluded” (see post at 10am).
“The very fact of discussing the possibility of sending certain contingents to Ukraine from Nato countries is a very important new element,” Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told reporters when asked about Macron’s remarks.
Asked by reporters what the risks of a direct Russia-Nato conflict would be if Nato members sent their troops to fight in Ukraine, Peskov said:
“In that case, we would need to talk not about the probability, but about the inevitability (of a direct conflict).”
French officials have become worried there has been no single galvanising western force responding to Vladimir Putin putting his economy on such an effective war footing, and insufficiently clear practical responses had emerged from the west.
Ukrainian forces report shortages of weapons and ammunition, as a grinding stalemate gives way to Russian gains.
Key events
Here is what Czech prime minister Petr Fiala and his Polish counterpart Donald Tusk said when asked whether or not they were considering sending troops to Ukraine.
“I am convinced that we should develop the paths of support that we embarked on after Russia’s aggression,” Fiala told a news conference alongside Tusk as they met in Prague on Tuesday.
“I believe we do not need to open some other methods or ways,” Fiala said, noting the current focus was on military aid as well as humanitarian and economic support.
Tusk added:
Poland does not plan to send its troops to the territory of Ukraine. I think that we should not speculate today whether there will be circumstances that could change this position.
Kremlin warns of conflict with Nato if alliance troops fight in Ukraine
The Kremlin has suggested that conflict between Russia and the US-led Nato military alliance would become inevitable if European members of Nato sent troops to fight in Ukraine, Reuters reports.
Sweden, Poland and Czech Republic have distanced themselves from Emmanuel Macron saying on Monday that there was “no consensus” on sending western troops to Ukraine but “nothing should be excluded” (see post at 10am).
“The very fact of discussing the possibility of sending certain contingents to Ukraine from Nato countries is a very important new element,” Kremlin spokesperson Dmitry Peskov told reporters when asked about Macron’s remarks.
Asked by reporters what the risks of a direct Russia-Nato conflict would be if Nato members sent their troops to fight in Ukraine, Peskov said:
“In that case, we would need to talk not about the probability, but about the inevitability (of a direct conflict).”
French officials have become worried there has been no single galvanising western force responding to Vladimir Putin putting his economy on such an effective war footing, and insufficiently clear practical responses had emerged from the west.
Ukrainian forces report shortages of weapons and ammunition, as a grinding stalemate gives way to Russian gains.
Miranda Bryant
Sweden’s prime minister, Ulf Kristersson, has ruled out sending troops to Ukraine for now – saying it is “not relevant at all right now” – putting a clear marker down between himself and Emmanuel Macron.
Kristersson, who on Monday hailed a “historic day” as Sweden’s Nato membership was finally approved by Hungary, clearing the historically neutral country’s path to the western military alliance, said while he respects “France’s will to help Ukraine,” Sweden was following its own path.
His comments, on Tuesday morning, came after the French president initiated the first open discussion of nations collectively considering sending troops to Ukraine.
He said on Monday: “There is no consensus to officially back any ground troops. That said, nothing should be excluded. We will do everything that we can to make sure that Russia does not prevail.”
But asked about the possibility of Swedish involvement, Kristersson said the question of Sweden sending troops to Ukraine “is not relevant at all right now”.
He told Swedish broadcaster SVT: “Right now we are fully occupied with sending advanced materials to from Sweden to Ukraine in many different ways, like many other countries are. So that is a whole other thing.
“There are not any requests from Ukraine’s side either for that. That question is not relevant.
“However, you could say that different countries have different traditions of engaging themselves in other countries. And France’s tradition is not the Swedish tradition. So I have respect for France’s will to help Ukraine. We are now helping Ukraine in a different way with a lot of advanced material.”
Asked whether he could exclude Sweden from sending troops if the request came, he conceded: “We live in very special times now, so a general exclusion of things …”
But, he added: “It is not relevant at all right now. There is no discussion like that ongoing in Sweden. We are participating by sending resources, materials and money to Ukraine and that is appreciated very much.”
Sweden, Poland and Czech Republic say they are not considering sending troops to Ukraine
Sweden, Czech Republic and Poland have said they are not considering sending troops to Ukraine, after being asked about comments made by France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, not ruling out the option for European nations.
Sweden’s prime minister, Ulf Kristersson, said this morning he will not be sending troops to Ukraine, saying it is not a relevant question for Nato at the moment.
He told Swedish broadcaster SVT: “Right now we are fully occupied with sending advanced materials to from Sweden to Ukraine in many different ways, like many other countries are. So that is a whole other thing.
“There are not any requests from Ukraine’s side either for that. That question is not relevant.
The comments come a day after Hungary’s parliament approved Sweden’s Nato accession nearly two years after the historically neutral country applied to join the western military alliance.
On Tuesday morning, the Czech prime minister, Petr Fiala, said he is not considering sending any troops to Ukraine, with Donald Tusk, the Polish prime minister, saying the same about Poland.
Speaking at a meeting of 20 mainly European leaders in Paris on Monday, Macron said “there is no consensus to officially back any ground troops. That said, nothing should be excluded. We will do everything that we can to make sure that Russia does not prevail.”
Leonid Volkov, a close ally of the late Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny, said that a protest called for 17 March, the final day of Russia’s presidential election, would be Navalny’s “last testament”.
Navalny, 47, died in jail on 16 February at 2.17pm local time, said his official spokesperson, Kira Yarmysh, citing a message from Navalny’s mother and challenging Russia’s official explanation that Navalny died after a fall at the Arctic penal colony where he was being held.
Navalny’s team and Navalnaya say he was killed by the Russian authorities. The Kremlin denies all involvement in Navalny’s death.
In a post on social media on 1 February, Navalny urged Russians to register a protest against Putin by all turning out to vote at the same time, at noon.
Russian attacks against Ukraine injured nine people over the past day, regional authorities reported early on Tuesday morning, according to the Kyiv Independent.
Civilian casualties were reported in Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia regions.
French PM: We will do ‘whatever it takes’ to help Ukraine win war and rule nothing out
France’s prime minister, Gabriel Attal, said on Tuesday that nothing was off the table in western efforts to prevent a Russian victory in Ukraine.
Speaking a day after France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, said that sending western ground troops was not excluded, Attal said that “you can’t rule anything out in a war”.
He told the RTL broadcaster that there was “no consensus” on any “official” deployment of ground troops.
“But no dynamic can be ruled out. We will do whatever it takes to ensure that Russia cannot win this war,” he said.
After initial successes in pushing back the Russian army, Ukraine has suffered setbacks on eastern battlefields, with its generals complaining of shortages of arms and soldiers.
The EU promised last year to send Ukraine 1m artillery shells before the end of March 2024, but then said it would only be able to deliver just over 50% of that amount.
Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, has suggested that the EU had not been able to meet even its reduced target. Kyiv has blamed the deficit in shells for its failure to hold positions, let alone make advances.
Russia’s defence ministry said on Tuesday that its forces were preventing Ukrainian forces from crossing from the right bank of the Dnipro river, near the village of Krynky in Ukraine’s southern Kherson region, Russian state news agency Tass reported.
Russia’s defence minister, Sergei Shoigu, said last week that Russian forces had taken control Krynky.
North Korea has sent 6,700 containers carrying millions of munitions to Russia – South Korea
North Korea has shipped about 6,700 containers carrying millions of munitions to Russia since July to support Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, South Korean media reported on Tuesday.
South Korea’s defence minister, Shin Won-sik, said the containers might carry more than 3 million 152mm artillery shells, or 500,000 122mm rounds.
“It could possibly be a mix of the two, and you can say that at least several million shells have been sent,” Shin said, according to the Yonhap news agency.
Hundreds of North Korean munitions factories are running at about 30% of their capacity due to a lack of raw materials and electricity, but those producing artillery shells for Russia were operating “at full swing,” he said.
Russia and North Korea have been moving closer since Moscow’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, with North Korean leader Kim Jong-un meeting Vladimir Putin in Russia’s far east in September.
US and South Korean officials say that Russia, long a pre-eminent military power, has become so desperate to replenish its arsenal that it has turned to North Korean and Iranian imports.
The US state department, in a fact sheet released on Friday, said that North Korea has delivered more than 10,000 containers of munitions or related materials to Russia since September.
In exchange, North Korea has received 9,000 containers mostly containing food supplies, which Shin said has helped stabilise prices there.
Macron refuses to rule out putting troops on ground in Ukraine
France’s President, Emmanuel Macron, said on Monday he refused to rule out sending ground troops to Ukraine, but said no consensus existed on the step, at a meeting of 20 mainly European leaders in Paris.
Protecting France’s strategic ambiguity he said “there is no consensus to officially back any ground troops. That said, nothing should be excluded. We will do everything that we can to make sure that Russia does not prevail.”
It is the first time there has been such open discussion of nation states collectively looking at providing troops to support the depleted Ukrainian military manpower.
Macron also announced that a new coalition will work to supply Ukraine with “medium- and long-range missiles and bombs”.
France and other allies of Ukraine will “create a coalition for deep strikes and therefore medium- and long-range missiles and bombs,” Macron was quoted as saying at a press conference.
Monday’s crisis meeting in support of Ukraine was attended by heads of European states, including Germany’s chancellor, Olaf Scholz, and top government officials such as the UK’s foreign secretary and former prime minister, David Cameron.
You can read more on the story in this piece by the Guardian’s diplomatic editor, Patrick Wintour:
Opening summary
Hello and welcome back to the Guardian’s live coverage of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Here are the latest developments:
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France’s president, Emmanuel Macron, has not ruled out sending ground troops to Ukraine. He said: “There is no consensus to officially back any ground troops. That said, nothing should be excluded. We will do everything that we can to make sure that Russia does not prevail.” Macron spoke after he led a meeting of 20 mainly European leaders in Paris on Monday to ramp up the European response to Russian military advances inside Ukraine. It is the first time there has been such open discussion of Ukraine’s allies providing troops. Macron said past shibboleths against sending long-range missiles and planes to Ukraine had been cast aside. “People used to say give them just sleeping bags and helmets … We must do whatever we can to obtain our objective.”
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Macron was clear a consensus existed that Russia would seek to attack other countries in a few years. He said Russia “must not and cannot win this war” and that Europe’s own security was at stake. “We are in the process of ensuring our collective security, for today and tomorrow.”
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The German chancellor, Olaf Scholz, has reiterated his reluctance to send Taurus cruise missiles to Ukraine, pointing to a risk of Germany becoming directly involved in the war if Taurus is used to hit targets deep within Russia. “This is a very long-range weapon, and what the British and French are doing in terms of targeting and supporting targeting cannot be done in Germany,” Scholz said. France and Britain have supplied Kyiv with Scalp/Storm Shadow missiles that go about 250km (155 miles). Taurus can reach targets up to 500km away.
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Russia has made confirmed advances near Kreminna, Bakhmut, and Avdiivka while continuing to fight for positions along the entire frontline, according to the Institute for the Study of War. The thinktank also assessed that Russia holds the initiative on the battlefield generally, and for as long as that remains the case its troops can undertake offensives at a time and place of their choosing.
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Ukraine has received less than a third of the one million artillery shells the European Union promised to deliver by now, Ukraine’s president, Volodymyr Zelenskiy, has said. The Netherlands will contribute €100m to a Czech initiative to buy ammunition for Ukraine from countries around the world, the Dutch PM, Mark Rutte, said on Monday.
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Mike Johnson, the US House speaker, will be to blame if US aid for Ukraine is blocked and Russia advances on the battlefield, Poland’s foreign minister has said. Radoslaw Sikorski urged Johnson to allow a vote on US$95bn funding bill containing US$60bn in security aid for Ukraine that has already passed the Senate in a 70-30 bipartisan vote.
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Russia claims its troops have captured the Ukrainian village of Lastochkyne, about five kilometres north-west of Avdiivka. On Monday, Ukraine’s military said it had retreated from the village, in eastern Ukraine, to help it better contain Russian troops’ attempts to advance westwards.
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Hungary’s parliament has approved Sweden joining Nato after months of delay. The formerly neutral country joining is a direct result of Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine. Sweden’s prime minister, Ulf Kristersson, hailed the news, calling it a historic day and said Sweden was ready to take up its responsibility in the alliance.